6 Key Tech Industry Insights and What They Mean for Your Business

February 11, 2025

2025 First Quarter Report

What we are seeing in technology

The first quarter of 2025 is shaping up to be a pivotal period for the tech industry, with surging AI investments, record capital expenditures from major players, and shifting labor market dynamics. Cybersecurity is becoming an even greater priority as AI-driven threats escalate, while sky-high public market valuations in software and AI contrast with lingering skepticism in fintech. Businesses that embrace AI, strengthen their digital infrastructure, and stay ahead of cybersecurity risks will be better positioned to compete in this evolving landscape. For those looking to raise capital or exit, public market valuations are supportive in specific segments such as AI, while other segments are more mixed.

1. Tech Giants Ramp Up Capital Investment

Tech Giants Ramp Up Capital Investment
Source: Bloomberg Finance, LP

Despite economic uncertainty, the largest technology firms, dubbed as the Magnificent 7 stocks, have significantly increased their capital expenditures. Capital investments reached a peak of $414 billion, demonstrating a 66% year-over-year increase. This investment growth reflects strong bets on AI, cloud infrastructure, and data center expansion.

What this means for you:

Businesses that rely on cloud computing, AI services, and digital infrastructure should not only prepare for enhanced offerings but also increased competition. Consider how these investments may impact your business’s technology stack and competitive positioning. 

2. AI Funding Sees a 159% Surge

AI Funding Sees a 159% Surge
Source: CB Insights

AI funding reached $43.8 billion in Q4 2024, a 159% quarter-over-quarter increase, marking a significant resurgence in venture capital interest. The number of deals remains steady, indicating larger check sizes and confidence in AI’s long-term impact.

What this means for you:

If you are operating in AI or AI-adjacent industries, the funding environment is once again favorable. Investors are focusing on scalable AI applications with clear commercialization pathways. For non-AI companies, integrating AI into your operations may help future-proof your business.

3. Public Tech Valuations Show Diverging Trends

Public Tech Valuations Show Diverging Trends
Source: Bloomberg Finance, LP

Publicly traded technology companies continue to trade at premium valuations. Software stocks are trading at more than double their 10-year average valuation multiples, while cybersecurity, cloud, and AI stocks are showing elevated valuations. However, fintech remains the exception, trading below its historical valuation range.

What this means for you:  

If your business is considering fundraising or an exit, the valuation environment is showing mixed sentiments. Fast-growing tech companies in segments like AI continue to see strong multiples, creating favorable conditions for exits. However, in other areas such as fintech, valuations remain more challenging, making profitability and clear competitive advantages essential to attracting investor interest.

4. Tech Layoffs Continue to Decline

Tech Layoffs Continue to Decline
Source: layoffs.fyi

After a period of mass layoffs in the tech sector during 2022-2023, layoffs have now stabilized, reflecting a more balanced hiring environment. The number of employees laid off and companies announcing layoffs has sharply declined in 2024.

What this means for you:

A more stable labor market in tech suggests that top talent is less likely to be available at discount rates. Companies should consider retaining key employees and investing in upskilling initiatives as competition for skilled labor increases again.

5. Cybersecurity Spending Surges Amid AI-Driven Threats

Cybersecurity Spending Surges Amid AI-Driven Threats
Source: IDC, Bloomberg Finance, LP

With AI-driven cyber threats increasing, cybersecurity spending is projected to rise significantly as a share of IT budgets. This creates opportunities for cybersecurity firms but causes headwinds for other aspects of corporate technology spending, particularly for hardware and enterprise software spending.

What this means for you:

If you’re in cybersecurity, this represents a strong tailwind for growth. For all businesses, now is a more vital time than ever to invest in robust security measures to protect against increasingly sophisticated cyber threats.

6. The Long-Term Shift Away from H-1B Visa Reliance

The Long-Term Shift Away from H-1B Visa Reliance
Source: IDC, Bloomberg Finance, LP, eMarketer, Statista

A major trend is emerging in IT and business services: Reliance on H-1B visas is expected to decline as firms shift towards global and digital delivery models. Major consulting firms are already adjusting their workforce strategies in anticipation of this trend.

What this means for you:

If your business relies on offshore talent, consider how automation and reshoring trends may impact your hiring strategies. If you’re in the consulting or IT services space, the balance between offshore and onshore teams will become a key factor in competitiveness.

Disclosures

Investment advisory services are offered by Aprio Wealth Management, LLC, a Securities and Exchange Commission Registered Investment Advisor. Opinions expressed are as of the publication date and subject to change without notice.  Aprio Wealth Management, LLC shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages, or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions contained herein or their use, which do not constitute investment advice, are provided as of the date written, are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security. This commentary is for informational purposes only and has not been tailored to suit any individual. References to specific securities or investment options should not be considered an offer to purchase or sell that specific investment.

This commentary contains certain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results to differ materially and/or substantially from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by those projected in the forward-looking statements for any reason.  No graph, chart, or formula in this presentation can be used in and of itself to determine which securities to buy or sell, when to buy or sell securities, whether to invest using this investment strategy, or whether to engage Aprio Wealth Management, LLC’s investment advisory services.

Investments in securities are subject to investment risk, including possible loss of principal. Prices of securities may fluctuate from time to time and may even become valueless. Any securities mentioned in this commentary are not FDIC-insured, may lose value, and are not guaranteed by a bank or other financial institution. Before making any investment decision, investors should read and consider all the relevant investment product information. Investors should seriously consider if the investment is suitable for them by referencing their own financial position, investment objectives, and risk profile before making any investment decision. There can be no assurance that any financial strategy will be successful.

Certain investor qualifications may apply. Definitions for Qualified Purchaser, Qualified Client and Accredited Investor can be found from multiple sources online or in the SEC’s glossary found here https://www.sec.gov/education/glossary/jargon-z#Q

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About the Author

Simeon Wallis

Simeon Wallis, CFA, is a Partner, the Chief Investment Officer of Aprio Wealth Management, and the Director of Aprio Family Office. Each month, Simeon brings you insights from the financial markets in Aprio’s Pulse on the Economy. To discuss these ideas and how they may affect your current investment strategy, schedule a consultation.


Mitchell Kopelman

National Leader in Aprio’s Technology Practice, and Tax Partner, Mitchell works with SaaS companies in FinTech, HealthTech, Transaction Processing, Blockchain and Gaming. Whether a company is pre-revenue, starting up, growing, or preparing for a liquidity event, Mitchell works with them to maximize their potential at each stage. He is known for promoting research, innovation and entrepreneurship by enabling companies to be successful, regardless of where they are in their business lifecycle.

(404) 898-8231


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